
75
System OS Return FNU OS Post OS FNU Post
Number Annual, % Annual,% Annual, % Annual, %
1 38.5 44.6 17.7 20
2 28.7 37.7 23.3 21.1
3 5.8 33 32.2 32.1
4 41.7 8.7 23.3 24
5 27.4 40.9 21.8 31.2
6 22.8 24.9 24.8 29.7
7 33.8 19.1 19.9 12.4
8 29.2 26 37.3 38.2
9 51.7 34.3 45.8 48.7
10 45.5 50 24.4 26.9
Average 32.5 31.9 27 28.4
S&P 37.2 37.2 14.7 14.7
Family Avg. 32.6 32.6 11.3 11.3
On average, using the FNU equity curve to measure performance shows a slight
improvement in both the OS and Post OS Period. What is important is how individual
trading systems are affected. For example, cases number 3 and 4 show dramatic
differences in the OS period. Although not as dramatic, we see similar results with case 7
in the Post OS period.
We recommend that the FNU files be generated when doing the final decision making on
which system to trade.
Double Period Out-of-Sample Testing (International Funds)
Here are the results from a study that looks at double period out-of-sample testing. It is
similar to the previous study performed with the Select funds.
IS optimization started on 1/4/1993 and ended on 10/1/1996, with an OS period from
10/1/1996 to 4/1/1998. A Post OS period evaluation was made from 4/1/1998 to
9/10/1999. Two funds were held using MAM, an MDD of 15%, and a goal of 9 S/Y.
Here is the FastBreak Pro Out-of-Sample Results Screen:
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